Due to the continuous southward jog - caused by a strong high pressure area to the north – of the 𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐦 #𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐘𝐢 located outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞'𝐬 𝐚 𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐤.
Yesterday, it showed that it could make landfall in Cagayan. Today, it is now showing 𝐚 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐢𝐧 𝐁𝐢𝐜𝐨𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐨𝐧 as an intense typhoon this weekend – even stronger than #NikaPH (#Toraji) and the upcoming #OfelPH (#Usagi).
Regardless, the circulation of the storm may directly affect the Mainland Luzon and Eastern Visayas starting weekend. 𝐈𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐬𝐨 𝐚𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐌𝐄𝐓𝐑𝐎 𝐌𝐀𝐍𝐈𝐋𝐀 𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐲 (𝐍𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟕) 𝐛𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐲.
𝐃𝐎𝐒𝐓-𝐏𝐀𝐆𝐀𝐒𝐀 says that Man-Yi may enter PAR (to be named #PepitoPH) as a TYPHOON tomorrow (November 14) evening and reaching SUPER TYPHOON category due to a possible rapid intensification (RI) phase is not ruled out.
𝐒𝐢𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐦 𝐢𝐬 𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐟𝐚𝐫 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐮𝐬, 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨 𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 - 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐃𝐚𝐲 𝟒 𝐨𝐧𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬.
Kindly continue monitoring.
📷: DOST-PAGASA and ECMWF (red line)
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